TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Derek Coulson and Archie Self in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 26 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Derek Coulson' if Derek Coulson wins against Archie Self. This market will resolve to 'Archie Self' if Archie Self wins against Derek Coulson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Derek Coulson and Archie Self in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 26 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Derek Coulson' if Derek Coulson wins against Archie Self. This market will resolve to 'Archie Self' if Archie Self wins against Derek Coulson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, representing a broader range of opinions and information. While sportsbooks may set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market reflects the collective beliefs of traders who have a financial stake in the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply variations in how each entity interprets the available data. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions prove correct. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series match, as reported by the governing body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their shares. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Derek Coulson or Archie Self could all have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception, perhaps fueled by expert analysis or social media discussion, could influence trader behavior and alter the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the probabilities reflected by this market.