TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 3:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between David Davies and Michael Wiles in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 30 at 12:05PM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Davies' if David Davies wins against Michael Wiles. This market will resolve to 'Michael Wiles' if Michael Wiles wins against David Davies. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between David Davies and Michael Wiles in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 30 at 12:05PM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Davies' if David Davies wins against Michael Wiles. This market will resolve to 'Michael Wiles' if Michael Wiles wins against David Davies. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by actual money being wagered. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. If a significant difference exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it may indicate an opportunity for arbitrage, where traders can profit by betting on both sides.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the changing sentiment of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a fee structure to incentivize accurate predictions and discourage manipulation, ensuring a fair and efficient market for forecasting the result of the MODUS Super Series darts match.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series darts match between David Davies and Michael Wiles, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in determining the winning outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 6, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players, or significant shifts in public opinion, may also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants could temporarily influence the market, though the collective wisdom of the crowd typically prevails as the event draws closer. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential trading opportunities.