TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 10:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between David Davies and Andy Baetens in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 27 at 8:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Davies' if David Davies wins against Andy Baetens. This market will resolve to 'Andy Baetens' if Andy Baetens wins against David Davies. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between David Davies and Andy Baetens in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 27 at 8:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Davies' if David Davies wins against Andy Baetens. This market will resolve to 'Andy Baetens' if Andy Baetens wins against David Davies. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring as assessed by traders. This market may show differences in implied probabilities compared to sportsbook offerings, potentially due to varying levels of expertise or access to information among participants. It’s important to consider these differences when evaluating potential trading opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Davies vs Baetens match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the MODUS Super Series. The platform will then determine the winning shares based on the confirmed outcome, and payouts will be distributed accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive match result to understand when this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either David Davies or Andy Baetens, or changes in their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or strategic changes could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations, so monitoring the order book is advisable.