TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 7:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Danny Trueman and Danny Lauby in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 8 at 5:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Danny Trueman' if Danny Trueman wins against Danny Lauby. This market will resolve to 'Danny Lauby' if Danny Lauby wins against Danny Trueman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Danny Trueman and Danny Lauby in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 8 at 5:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Danny Trueman' if Danny Trueman wins against Danny Lauby. This market will resolve to 'Danny Lauby' if Danny Lauby wins against Danny Trueman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money bets and public sentiment. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public opinion shifts. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants and provides a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The current volume suggests significant interest in this matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Danny Trueman vs Danny Lauby match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in strategy, or unexpected performance in prior matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about weather conditions or venue changes might also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential traders could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting a change in perceived probability. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving dynamics of this market.