TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 10:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Danny Ayres and Harrison Leigh in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 9 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Danny Ayres' if Danny Ayres wins against Harrison Leigh. This market will resolve to 'Harrison Leigh' if Harrison Leigh wins against Danny Ayres. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Danny Ayres and Harrison Leigh in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 9 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Danny Ayres' if Danny Ayres wins against Harrison Leigh. This market will resolve to 'Harrison Leigh' if Harrison Leigh wins against Danny Ayres. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ayres vs Leigh match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, reflecting the aggregated views of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ayres vs Leigh match, as reported by a trusted source covering the MODUS Super Series. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements and reporting to stay informed about the progress of the event and the eventual resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might influence perceptions of the players' overall capabilities. Monitoring news sources, social media, and expert analysis will be key to understanding these potential catalysts and their impact on the market.