TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 9:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Danny Ayres and Derek Coulson in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 27 at 7:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Danny Ayres' if Danny Ayres wins against Derek Coulson. This market will resolve to 'Derek Coulson' if Derek Coulson wins against Danny Ayres. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Danny Ayres and Derek Coulson in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 27 at 7:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Danny Ayres' if Danny Ayres wins against Derek Coulson. This market will resolve to 'Derek Coulson' if Derek Coulson wins against Danny Ayres. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither guarantees the actual outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are bought, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, and the market efficiently aggregates information from all participants. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Ayres vs Coulson match.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ayres vs Coulson match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or tournaments might influence perceptions of the players’ overall chances. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to price movements, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.