TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 9:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Danny Ayres and Andy Baetens in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 28 at 7:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Danny Ayres' if Danny Ayres wins against Andy Baetens. This market will resolve to 'Andy Baetens' if Andy Baetens wins against Danny Ayres. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Danny Ayres and Andy Baetens in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 28 at 7:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Danny Ayres' if Danny Ayres wins against Andy Baetens. This market will resolve to 'Andy Baetens' if Andy Baetens wins against Danny Ayres. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring as assessed by traders. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, especially when there's significant public interest and information available. However, this market may align with sportsbook odds if the same information is driving both.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of a share directly reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the pricing on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ayres vs Baetens match, as reported by the governing body of the MODUS Super Series. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their holdings in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in their strategies could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact the odds. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also play a role. Finally, large trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price movements, especially if they represent informed bets based on non-public information.