TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 1:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Conor Heneghan and Danny Ayres in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 9 at 11:05AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Conor Heneghan' if Conor Heneghan wins against Danny Ayres. This market will resolve to 'Danny Ayres' if Danny Ayres wins against Conor Heneghan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Conor Heneghan and Danny Ayres in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 9 at 11:05AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Conor Heneghan' if Conor Heneghan wins against Danny Ayres. This market will resolve to 'Danny Ayres' if Danny Ayres wins against Conor Heneghan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities, but remember that this market represents a distinct set of informed opinions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the result. The current volume traded suggests a degree of confidence in certain outcomes, but the market remains dynamic and subject to change based on new information.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heneghan vs Ayres match, as reported by a recognized authority in the sport. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or even pre-match interviews revealing key tactical approaches could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large-volume trades on Polymarket could indicate informed speculation, causing a rapid adjustment in prices. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on market movements.