TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 12:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Ashton Brown and Josh McCarthy in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 15 at 10:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ashton Brown' if Ashton Brown wins against Josh McCarthy. This market will resolve to 'Josh McCarthy' if Josh McCarthy wins against Ashton Brown. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Ashton Brown and Josh McCarthy in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 15 at 10:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ashton Brown' if Ashton Brown wins against Josh McCarthy. This market will resolve to 'Josh McCarthy' if Josh McCarthy wins against Ashton Brown. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, you’ll likely see the prediction market diverge. However, as the event approaches, these odds often converge as more information becomes available and public sentiment solidifies. It's a fascinating comparison to observe.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series darts match between Ashton Brown and Josh McCarthy. The platform will then verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injuries, or changes in their playing style could significantly shift the odds. Public sentiment, reflected in social media discussions and expert analysis, can also play a role. Unexpected developments during the match itself, such as a player experiencing a sudden change in form, would likely cause rapid price adjustments. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning could move this market.