TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 2:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Ashton Brown and Aaron Turner in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 16 at 11:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ashton Brown' if Ashton Brown wins against Aaron Turner. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Turner' if Aaron Turner wins against Ashton Brown. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Ashton Brown and Aaron Turner in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 16 at 11:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ashton Brown' if Ashton Brown wins against Aaron Turner. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Turner' if Aaron Turner wins against Ashton Brown. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by individuals willing to put their capital at risk. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk appetites. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments related to the players involved.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading in this market, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely winner of the match between Ashton Brown and Aaron Turner.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series match between Ashton Brown and Aaron Turner. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which player won the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or potential rule changes could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants, or even social media sentiment, can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to the match’s resolution.