TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 8:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Archie Self and Stuart Dutton in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 21 at 6:25AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Archie Self' if Archie Self wins against Stuart Dutton. This market will resolve to 'Stuart Dutton' if Stuart Dutton wins against Archie Self. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Archie Self and Stuart Dutton in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 21 at 6:25AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Archie Self' if Archie Self wins against Stuart Dutton. This market will resolve to 'Stuart Dutton' if Stuart Dutton wins against Archie Self. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting bias or promotional offers, while this market relies on individuals directly forecasting the most likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies, compared to the implied probabilities offered by sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the market’s implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential result of the Archie Self vs Stuart Dutton match. The current price indicates what the crowd believes is the likelihood of a specific player winning.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series match between Archie Self and Stuart Dutton as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing strategy for either Archie Self or Stuart Dutton could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also impact the perceived probability of either player winning. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment or analysis from darts experts could also contribute to price movements in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their forecasts.