TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Archie Self and Derek Coulson in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 27 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Archie Self' if Archie Self wins against Derek Coulson. This market will resolve to 'Derek Coulson' if Derek Coulson wins against Archie Self. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Archie Self and Derek Coulson in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 27 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Archie Self' if Archie Self wins against Derek Coulson. This market will resolve to 'Derek Coulson' if Derek Coulson wins against Archie Self. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks, it might indicate an opportunity for value betting, assuming you have a strong conviction about the true probability of the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The market's efficiency depends on the number of participants and the quality of information they incorporate into their trading decisions.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series match between Archie Self and Derek Coulson. The platform will rely on publicly available, authoritative sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their shareholdings in the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about playing conditions or changes to the match schedule could also create volatility. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role, although the market ultimately relies on traders' individual assessments. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly influence trading behavior as bettors adjust their overall risk exposure.