TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 11:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Andy Baetens and Danny Ayres in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 27 at 9:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andy Baetens' if Andy Baetens wins against Danny Ayres. This market will resolve to 'Danny Ayres' if Danny Ayres wins against Andy Baetens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Andy Baetens and Danny Ayres in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 27 at 9:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andy Baetens' if Andy Baetens wins against Danny Ayres. This market will resolve to 'Danny Ayres' if Danny Ayres wins against Andy Baetens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that they have access to information not yet reflected in the sportsbook's lines. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market's efficiency depends on the volume of trading and the diversity of opinions represented among traders.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Baetens vs Ayres match, as determined by the governing body of the MODUS Super Series. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to this date for any potential delays or changes to the event schedule.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their playing strategies could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the MODUS Super Series could also impact perceptions of each player’s chances. Furthermore, major announcements related to the event itself, such as venue changes or revised schedules, could lead to increased volatility and price adjustments on Polymarket.