TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 1:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Andreas Harrysson and Alex Spellman in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 8 at 11:05AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andreas Harrysson' if Andreas Harrysson wins against Alex Spellman. This market will resolve to 'Alex Spellman' if Alex Spellman wins against Andreas Harrysson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Andreas Harrysson and Alex Spellman in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 8 at 11:05AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andreas Harrysson' if Andreas Harrysson wins against Alex Spellman. This market will resolve to 'Alex Spellman' if Alex Spellman wins against Andreas Harrysson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome of the Harrysson vs Spellman match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply the dynamic of a decentralized, incentive-aligned forecasting system. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome in the Harrysson vs Spellman match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more the market believes that outcome will occur. The market’s price reflects the aggregated opinions of all participants, and the volume traded indicates the level of conviction behind those opinions. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Harrysson vs Spellman match as determined by the governing body of the MODUS Super Series. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. The exact timing of the resolution may vary slightly depending on the speed of official result publication.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or strategic changes for either Andreas Harrysson or Alex Spellman would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, reflected in analysis from esports commentators or popular online communities, could sway traders’ opinions. Finally, large trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price fluctuations as the market adjusts to new information or positions.