TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 10:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Alex Spellman and Harrison Leigh in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 8 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Spellman' if Alex Spellman wins against Harrison Leigh. This market will resolve to 'Harrison Leigh' if Harrison Leigh wins against Alex Spellman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Alex Spellman and Harrison Leigh in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 8 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Spellman' if Alex Spellman wins against Harrison Leigh. This market will resolve to 'Harrison Leigh' if Harrison Leigh wins against Alex Spellman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks may also adjust their odds more slowly to changes in information. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of the true probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and shifts expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of participants regarding the MODUS Super Series event. The current volume indicates significant interest in this contest.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the MODUS Super Series match between Alex Spellman and Harrison Leigh. The platform will identify the winner based on publicly available and verifiable data, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the form or fitness of either Alex Spellman or Harrison Leigh would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role, though the market’s price is ultimately driven by trading activity on Polymarket. Major upsets in other related competitions could also indirectly affect trader confidence.