TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 11:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Alex Spellman and Danny Trueman in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 6 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Spellman' if Alex Spellman wins against Danny Trueman. This market will resolve to 'Danny Trueman' if Danny Trueman wins against Alex Spellman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Alex Spellman and Danny Trueman in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 6 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Spellman' if Alex Spellman wins against Danny Trueman. This market will resolve to 'Danny Trueman' if Danny Trueman wins against Alex Spellman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective forecast. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is driven entirely by supply and demand, meaning that shifts in sentiment or new information can rapidly impact the odds. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series match, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to 1 minus the commission, while shares in losing outcomes will be worth zero. This ensures a clear and transparent resolution process.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Alex Spellman or Danny Trueman would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one could also shift perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, major announcements related to the tournament itself, such as changes to the playing conditions, could influence the odds. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to drive price movement in this market.