TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Aden Kirk and Robert Thornton in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 3 at 4:35PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aden Kirk' if Aden Kirk wins against Robert Thornton. This market will resolve to 'Robert Thornton' if Robert Thornton wins against Aden Kirk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Aden Kirk and Robert Thornton in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 3 at 4:35PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aden Kirk' if Aden Kirk wins against Robert Thornton. This market will resolve to 'Robert Thornton' if Robert Thornton wins against Aden Kirk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights into where the crowd and the experts diverge in their expectations for the Aden Kirk vs Robert Thornton match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions surrounding the Aden Kirk vs Robert Thornton match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aden Kirk vs Robert Thornton match as determined by the governing body of the MODUS Super Series. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Aden Kirk or Robert Thornton could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one, or broader trends within the MODUS Super Series, might also play a role. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also contribute to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely impact trading activity and the market price.