TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Aden Kirk and Michael Wiles in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 3 at 5:40PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aden Kirk' if Aden Kirk wins against Michael Wiles. This market will resolve to 'Michael Wiles' if Michael Wiles wins against Aden Kirk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Aden Kirk and Michael Wiles in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 3 at 5:40PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aden Kirk' if Aden Kirk wins against Michael Wiles. This market will resolve to 'Michael Wiles' if Michael Wiles wins against Aden Kirk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This creates a dynamic pricing system that responds to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Aden Kirk vs Michael Wiles match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Aden Kirk vs Michael Wiles match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match scheduling, or updated performance statistics for either Aden Kirk or Michael Wiles could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, public opinion and expert analysis, as reflected in sports news and commentary, can contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their positions based on new information and evolving expectations.