TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 6:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Aaron Turner and Tommy Morris in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 14 at 4:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Turner' if Aaron Turner wins against Tommy Morris. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Morris' if Tommy Morris wins against Aaron Turner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Aaron Turner and Tommy Morris in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 14 at 4:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Turner' if Aaron Turner wins against Tommy Morris. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Morris' if Tommy Morris wins against Aaron Turner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed bettors, but it’s important to remember that each represents a unique assessment of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aaron Turner vs Tommy Morris match as reported by the official MODUS Super Series organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their strategies could shift expectations. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a particular outcome could also drive price movements. Unexpected developments during the match itself, such as a key player struggling or a surprising tactical shift, would likely cause rapid adjustments in the market price. Monitoring these factors can help traders anticipate potential shifts and make informed decisions.