TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Aaron Turner and Ashton Brown in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 15 at 8:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Turner' if Aaron Turner wins against Ashton Brown. This market will resolve to 'Ashton Brown' if Ashton Brown wins against Aaron Turner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Aaron Turner and Ashton Brown in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 15 at 8:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Turner' if Aaron Turner wins against Ashton Brown. This market will resolve to 'Ashton Brown' if Ashton Brown wins against Aaron Turner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals making their own predictions and expressing them through trades. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and insights that aren't immediately reflected in sportsbook lines, providing a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Aaron Turner vs Ashton Brown match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. As more traders buy shares indicating a belief in a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, offering a real-time assessment of the expected result. The current volume suggests moderate interest in this event.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aaron Turner vs Ashton Brown match, as determined by the governing body of the MODUS Super Series. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also create movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants or shifts in broader public opinion could drive price fluctuations. Monitoring social media, sports news outlets, and expert analysis will be key to identifying potential catalysts that could move this market before Oct 22, 2026.