TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on determining the winner of a professional Egyptian Premier League soccer encounter between Modern and Al Ahly (EGY). The resolution hinges on which team emerges victorious after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded. An alternative market accounts for the scenario where the match concludes equally.
The market resolves based on the result of the Modern vs Al Ahly (EGY) professional Egyptian Premier League soccer game scheduled for October 29, 2026. If Modern wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (not including extra time or penalties), that market resolves to Yes. If Al Ahly (EGY) wins under identical conditions, its market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to openly buy and sell contracts based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Modern vs Al Ahly match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different outcomes of the Modern vs Al Ahly match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time forecast. The current price indicates the cost to buy a contract that pays out if that outcome is realized.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Modern vs Al Ahly match as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The final outcome will be determined by the official match result and verified through publicly available sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form for either Modern or Al Ahly could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could also cause price fluctuations. Major upsets in other related matches or even broader political events affecting travel or player availability could also move this market as traders reassess the probabilities.