TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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MLB Postseason: Strikeout Leader
kalshi
polymarket

Who will lead in MLB postseason strikeouts?

Volume:
$50,596

Gavin Williams

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 11:23 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Gavin Williams

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,035
N/A
N/A
$7,936
4w 12h
Yes
polymarket

Gavin Williams

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,712
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
Yes
kalshi

Drew Rasmussen

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,580
N/A
N/A
$3,954
4w 12h
No
polymarket

Drew Rasmussen

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,050
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
kalshi

Jacob Misiorowski

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,260
N/A
N/A
$2,436
4w 12h
No
polymarket

Jacob Misiorowski

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
kalshi

Tarik Skubal

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,102
N/A
N/A
$1,624
4w 12h
No
kalshi

Blake Snell

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,062
N/A
N/A
$1,743
4w 12h
No
kalshi

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,740
N/A
N/A
$888
4w 12h
No
kalshi

Chris Sale

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,415
N/A
N/A
$1,233
4w 12h
No
kalshi

Cristopher Sánchez

View
0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
4w 12h
No
polymarket

Ian Seymour

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,179
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
polymarket

Joey Cantillo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,040
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
polymarket

Dustin May

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$972
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
polymarket

Tanner Bibee

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$961
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
polymarket

Freddy Peralta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$711
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
kalshi

Freddy Peralta

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
4w 12h
No
kalshi

Cam Schlittler

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$604
N/A
N/A
$336
4w 12h
No
kalshi

Zack Wheeler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$561
N/A
N/A
$500
4w 12h
No
polymarket

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$354
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
polymarket

Cam Schlittler

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$349
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
polymarket

Foster Griffin

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$336
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
polymarket

Tarik Skubal

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$317
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
polymarket

Parker Messick

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
polymarket

Tyler Mahle

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
Total markets: 25 of 143

Description

This prediction group asks which MLB pitcher will record the most strikeouts during the 2026 MLB Postseason, encompassing the Wild Card Series, Division Series, League Championship Series, and World Series. Markets exist for individual pitchers as well as an 'Other' option.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Tie-breaking rules and the inclusion of an 'Other' option differ between Polymarket and Kalshi.Hero tip: Polymarket's tie-breaking mechanism and 'Other' option provide a slight edge for hedging against unexpected outcomes. Kalshi provides a simpler, direct bet on individual pitchers.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves ties based on strikeouts per nine innings. If a tie still persists, all tied pitcher markets resolve to 'No' and the 'Other' market resolves to 'Yes'. Includes an 'Other' market.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' for the pitcher with the most strikeouts. No tie-breaking mechanism is explicitly stated beyond simply identifying the leader. Does not include an 'Other' market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that finishes the 2026 MLB Postseason with the most strikeouts. In the event of a tie for the most strikeouts, this market will resolve in favor of the tied pitcher with the higher strikeouts per nine innings across the 2026 MLB Postseason. If a tie still persists, each tied pitcher's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". Only strikeouts in 2026 MLB Postseason games will count toward this market. The 2026 MLB Postseason comprises the Wild Card Series, the Division Series, the League Championship Series, and the World Series. Regular season games, exhibition games, and any tiebreaker or "Game 163" will not be considered part of the 2026 MLB Postseason. The "Other" market will resolve to "Yes" if the pitcher who leads is not among the listed pitchers. If the 2026 MLB Postseason is cancelled, or the World Series has not concluded by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, every named pitcher's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market assesses whether a specific pitcher leads all participants in postseason strikeouts. Only statistics from playoff games count; any pitcher who does not appear in a playoff game due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons automatically loses. If multiple pitchers tie for the lead and the league does not name a single winner, all tied pitchers receive a proportional payout. Statistical corrections are only applied if they occur before the market's expiration date. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, all of which can influence price formation. Additionally, differing levels of information and analysis among traders on each platform can lead to varied assessments of a player's likelihood of leading in strikeouts. Market sentiment and even the timing of trades can create temporary discrepancies. While both platforms ultimately aim to reflect the true probability, these inherent differences can result in noticeable price variations, presenting potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.

Several factors could significantly impact the odds in this market. Injuries to key pitchers are a major catalyst, as they would alter the competitive landscape and impact strikeout potential. Strong or poor performances during the regular season leading up to the postseason could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected trades that bring new pitching talent into contention would also be influential. Furthermore, any news regarding pitching rotations or manager strategies could move the market. Finally, major upsets or surprising performances during the early rounds of the postseason could cause rapid price adjustments in this market.