TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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MLB Postseason: SB Leader
kalshi
polymarket

Who will lead MLB postseason stolen bases?

Volume:
$22,958

Chandler Simpson

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 11:38 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chandler Simpson

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,796
N/A
N/A
$2,368
4w 16h
Yes
polymarket

Chandler Simpson

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,466
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 6h
Yes
kalshi

David Hamilton

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,740
N/A
N/A
$3,141
4w 16h
No
polymarket

David Hamilton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,032
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 6h
No
kalshi

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,268
N/A
N/A
$1,520
4w 16h
No
kalshi

José Ramírez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,641
N/A
N/A
$1,372
4w 16h
No
polymarket

Jorge Mateo

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,118
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 6h
No
kalshi

Jorge Mateo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
$46
4w 16h
No
polymarket

Travis Bazzana

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$843
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 6h
No
polymarket

José Ramírez

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$627
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 6h
No
polymarket

Jackson Chourio

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$608
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 6h
No
kalshi

Jackson Chourio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
$37
4w 16h
No
kalshi

Luisangel Acuña

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$599
N/A
N/A
$358
4w 16h
No
kalshi

Brice Turang

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$523
N/A
N/A
$510
4w 16h
No
polymarket

Brice Turang

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$356
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 6h
No
polymarket

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$484
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 6h
No
polymarket

Taylor Walls

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$416
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 6h
No
kalshi

Taylor Walls

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
$72
4w 16h
No
polymarket

Cedric Mullins

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$331
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 6h
No
kalshi

Cedric Mullins

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 16h
No
polymarket

Miguel Vargas

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$287
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 6h
No
polymarket

Jackson Merrill

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 6h
No
polymarket

Brayan Rocchio

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$195
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 6h
No
kalshi

Cooper Pratt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$138
N/A
N/A
$75
4w 16h
No
polymarket

Sam Antonacci

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$137
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 6h
No
Total markets: 25 of 141

Description

This prediction group asks which MLB player will steal the most bases during the 2026 MLB Postseason (Wild Card Series, Division Series, League Championship Series, and World Series). In the event of a tie, the player with fewer caught stealing attempts will be favored, and if a tie persists, all tied player markets will resolve negatively, with the 'Other' market resolving positively.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi lacks an 'Other' option and a defined resolution deadline, differing from Polymarket's inclusion of both.Hero tip: Consider the potential for a lesser-known player to lead in stolen bases on Polymarket, where the 'Other' option exists. On Kalshi, focus on the most likely candidates.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on most stolen bases in the 2026 MLB Postseason, with a tiebreaker of fewest times caught stealing. Includes an 'Other' option and a resolution deadline of November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. "Only stolen bases in 2026 MLB Postseason games will count..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on most stolen bases in the 2026 MLB Postseason. Does not include an 'Other' option or a specific resolution deadline. "If [player] leads Pro Baseball in stolen bases for the 2026 postseason, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 MLB Postseason with the most stolen bases. In the event of a tie for the most stolen bases, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with the fewest times caught stealing across the 2026 MLB Postseason. If a tie still persists, each tied player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". Only stolen bases in 2026 MLB Postseason games will count toward this market. The 2026 MLB Postseason comprises the Wild Card Series, the Division Series, the League Championship Series, and the World Series. Regular season games, exhibition games, and any tiebreaker or "Game 163" will not be considered part of the 2026 MLB Postseason. The "Other" market will resolve to "Yes" if the player who leads is not among the listed players. If the 2026 MLB Postseason is cancelled, or the World Series has not concluded by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, every named player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for any individual player market if that specific player leads all of Pro Baseball in stolen bases during the 2026 postseason playoffs. Only statistics recorded in postseason games count toward this determination. If a participant does not play any playoff games due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons, all related markets resolve to No. In cases where multiple players are tied for the lead in stolen bases and the league does not declare a single winner, all tied participants receive a proportional payout. Any statistical corrections are only considered if made before the market expiration date. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Numerous factors could influence trading activity and shift probabilities in this market. Significant player injuries to key base stealers, changes in team lineups, or unexpected performance fluctuations during the regular season could all trigger price movements. News regarding a player’s health or a manager’s strategic approach to base running will be closely watched. Additionally, any updates on potential rule changes impacting stolen base attempts could also affect the market. Monitoring these events and their potential impact on player performance is crucial for understanding shifts in this market.