TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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MLB Postseason: Runs Leader
kalshi
polymarket

Who will lead in MLB Postseason runs?

Volume:
$29,901

Brice Turang

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 4:39 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Brice Turang

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,073
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
Yes
kalshi

Brice Turang

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,817
N/A
N/A
$1,182
4w 12h
Yes
kalshi

José Ramírez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,731
N/A
N/A
$5,905
4w 12h
No
polymarket

José Ramírez

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$725
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
polymarket

Yandy Díaz

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,672
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
kalshi

Yandy Díaz

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,337
N/A
N/A
$512
4w 12h
No
kalshi

Jackson Chourio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,466
N/A
N/A
$1,354
4w 12h
No
polymarket

Jackson Chourio

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$512
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
polymarket

Junior Caminero

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,278
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
kalshi

Junior Caminero

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,007
N/A
N/A
$521
4w 12h
No
polymarket

William Contreras

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,252
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
kalshi

William Contreras

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$981
N/A
N/A
$954
4w 12h
No
kalshi

Kyle Schwarber

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
4w 12h
No
polymarket

Chandler Simpson

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
kalshi

Chandler Simpson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
$21
4w 12h
No
polymarket

Steven Kwan

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$674
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
polymarket

Jake Bauers

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$612
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
kalshi

Steven Kwan

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$591
N/A
N/A
$209
4w 12h
No
kalshi

Aaron Judge

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
$500
4w 12h
No
kalshi

Christian Yelich

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$342
N/A
N/A
$342
4w 12h
No
polymarket

Shohei Ohtani

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
kalshi

Shohei Ohtani

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$288
N/A
N/A
$286
4w 12h
No
kalshi

Fernando Tatis Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
$285
4w 12h
No
polymarket

Kyle Tucker

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$258
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
polymarket

Chase Meidroth

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 2h
No
Total markets: 25 of 177

Description

This prediction group asks which MLB player will score the most runs during the 2026 postseason. The postseason includes the Wild Card Series, Division Series, League Championship Series, and World Series. Markets resolve based on official MLB data, with tiebreakers involving on-base percentage.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Significant SKU risk exists due to differing player lists across platforms. Polymarket includes a comprehensive list with an 'Other' option, while Kalshi offers a more limited selection.Hero tip: Favor Polymarket if you believe a player outside of Kalshi's listed options has a strong chance of leading in runs. Be aware that Kalshi's market will resolve to a listed player, even if another player leads overall.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the player with the most runs, with on-base percentage as a tiebreaker. Includes an 'Other' option for players not explicitly listed. "Only runs scored in 2026 MLB Postseason games will count toward this market."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to the player with the most runs. Does not have an 'Other' option, meaning a player not listed cannot win. "If [Player Name] leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 postseason, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 MLB Postseason with the most runs scored. In the event of a tie for the most runs scored, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with the higher on-base percentage across the 2026 MLB Postseason. If a tie still persists, each tied player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". Only runs scored in 2026 MLB Postseason games will count toward this market. The 2026 MLB Postseason comprises the Wild Card Series, the Division Series, the League Championship Series, and the World Series. Regular season games, exhibition games, and any tiebreaker or "Game 163" will not be considered part of the 2026 MLB Postseason. The "Other" market will resolve to "Yes" if the player who leads is not among the listed players. If the 2026 MLB Postseason is cancelled, or the World Series has not concluded by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, every named player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market corresponds to an individual player, resolving to 'Yes' if that specific athlete records the highest number of runs in the 2026 postseason. Only statistics from playoff games are counted. If a participant does not play any playoff games due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons, the market resolves to 'No'. In cases of ties where no single leader is declared, all tied participants receive a proportional payout. Statistical corrections are only applied if made before the market expiration date. The structure is repeated identically across all 66 markets, each evaluating a different player's performance against the same criteria.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. The spread between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can sometimes indicate opportunities for arbitrage, though transaction costs and market liquidity should be considered.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of key hitters would dramatically alter the landscape. Strong or poor performances during the regular season leading up to the postseason could shift expectations. Unexpected trades or roster changes could also impact the perceived chances of different players. Finally, any news regarding player health, batting slumps, or strategic lineup adjustments could all contribute to price movements in this market as traders react to new information.