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MLB Playoffs: Who Will Hit a Home Run? - Guardians vs. White Sox
polymarket

Will a home run be hit by anyone?

Volume:
$2,811

Munetaka Murakami

 - Polymarket

Munetaka Murakami - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 2:01 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Munetaka Murakami

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Miguel Vargas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

José Ramírez

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Patrick Bailey

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kyle Manzardo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Rhys Hoskins

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Randal Grichuk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chase DeLauter

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

David Fry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Austin Hedges

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tommy Pham

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Steven Kwan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jo Adell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Luisangel Acuña

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kyle Teel

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kahlil Watson

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brenton Doyle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Petey Halpin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Colson Montgomery

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Braden Montgomery

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Travis Bazzana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CJ Kayfus

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Angel Genao

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tristan Peters

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jake Rogers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 34

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player hits at least one home run in any game of the 2026 MLB Playoffs American League Division Series between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only home runs credited to the listed player in the official box score will count. Inside-the-park home runs count toward this market. All innings of each game, including extra innings, will be considered. A game that is postponed or suspended will count once it has been completed. Official scoring changes announced by MLB within 24 hours of the end of the relevant game will be considered, but later changes will not. If the series is not completed by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including cancellation of the 2026 MLB Playoffs, this market will resolve based on games of the series completed by that time. A home run hit in a game that has been suspended and not completed by that time will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB, including official box scores; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player hits at least one home run in any game of the 2026 MLB Playoffs American League Division Series between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only home runs credited to the listed player in the official box score will count. Inside-the-park home runs count toward this market. All innings of each game, including extra innings, will be considered. A game that is postponed or suspended will count once it has been completed. Official scoring changes announced by MLB within 24 hours of the end of the relevant game will be considered, but later changes will not. If the series is not completed by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including cancellation of the 2026 MLB Playoffs, this market will resolve based on games of the series completed by that time. A home run hit in a game that has been suspended and not completed by that time will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB, including official box scores; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the MLB home run market tracks the current odds for each player to hit a home run in the upcoming game between the Guardians and the White Sox. It displays the implied probability of each outcome, along with the total volume traded on the market, currently at $2,811. You can also see the 24-hour volume, which is $1,812, providing insight into recent trading activity. The dashboard updates in real-time, reflecting the latest predictions from traders.

Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market aims to reflect the true probability as assessed by traders. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbook odds may react more quickly to breaking news, such as a late injury, while this market may take longer to adjust as traders process the information.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on official MLB game logs determining which players, if any, hit a home run during the Guardians versus White Sox game. The final result will be based on the official statistics recorded by Major League Baseball. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s market rules, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in the batting lineup, or weather conditions affecting the game could shift the odds. A strong performance by a player in previous games, or a particularly favorable pitching matchup, might also influence trader behavior. Furthermore, late-breaking news about player health or potential lineup changes could cause rapid price adjustments. Overall team performance and recent hitting statistics are also likely to be considered by traders when assessing probabilities.