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MLB Playoffs: Who Will Hit a Home Run? - Brewers vs. Padres
polymarket

Will a player hit a home run?

Volume:
$1,530

Jake Cronenworth

 - Polymarket

Jake Cronenworth - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 3:18 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Jake Cronenworth

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jackson Chourio

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

William Contreras

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fernando Tatis Jr.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gary Sánchez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Garrett Mitchell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ethan Salas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Austin Hays

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jake Bauers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brice Turang

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Joey Ortiz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dustin Harris

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Christian Yelich

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Andrew Vaughn

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Luis Lara

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

David Hamilton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sal Frelick

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cooper Pratt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bo Naylor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brandon Lockridge

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tyler Black

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jeferson Quero

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jackson Merrill

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ty France

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gavin Sheets

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 34

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player hits at least one home run in any game of the 2026 MLB Playoffs National League Division Series between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only home runs credited to the listed player in the official box score will count. Inside-the-park home runs count toward this market. All innings of each game, including extra innings, will be considered. A game that is postponed or suspended will count once it has been completed. Official scoring changes announced by MLB within 24 hours of the end of the relevant game will be considered, but later changes will not. If the series is not completed by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including cancellation of the 2026 MLB Playoffs, this market will resolve based on games of the series completed by that time. A home run hit in a game that has been suspended and not completed by that time will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB, including official box scores; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player hits at least one home run in any game of the 2026 MLB Playoffs National League Division Series between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only home runs credited to the listed player in the official box score will count. Inside-the-park home runs count toward this market. All innings of each game, including extra innings, will be considered. A game that is postponed or suspended will count once it has been completed. Official scoring changes announced by MLB within 24 hours of the end of the relevant game will be considered, but later changes will not. If the series is not completed by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including cancellation of the 2026 MLB Playoffs, this market will resolve based on games of the series completed by that time. A home run hit in a game that has been suspended and not completed by that time will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB, including official box scores; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Brewers vs. Padres home run market provides a real-time view of how traders are pricing the probability of various players hitting a home run during the game. You’ll find the current odds for each player, the total volume traded on the market – currently at $1,530 – and the 24-hour volume, which is $1,274. The dashboard also displays a price history chart, allowing you to analyze how the market has moved over time and identify potential trends in trader sentiment.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals wagering their own capital, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on betting action, prediction markets continuously update prices based on the collective beliefs of traders, offering a dynamic comparison point.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether a player will hit a home run. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the odds beyond the actions of traders on the platform.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine which players, if any, hit a home run during the Brewers vs. Padres game. Resolution will be based on official MLB game logs and statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events based on the verified results.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes to the batting lineup, or even weather conditions affecting the game could all shift trader sentiment. Strong performances by a player in previous games, or a particularly favorable pitching matchup, might also increase the likelihood of a home run and drive up the price of their shares. Any significant development related to the players involved or the game itself has the potential to move this market before it resolves.