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MLB Playoffs: Guardians vs. White Sox Series Spread
polymarket

What is the result of Guardians vs White Sox?

Volume:
$439

White Sox (-1.5)

 - Polymarket

White Sox (-1.5) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 1:51 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

White Sox (-1.5)

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Guardians (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

White Sox (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Guardians (-2.5)

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

The 2026 MLB Playoffs American League Division Series between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox is a best-of-five series, won by the first team to win three games. Each market in this event names a team and a series spread of -1.5 or -2.5 games, and its two outcomes are the named team with that spread (for example, "Guardians -1.5") and the other team with the opposite spread (for example, "White Sox +1.5"). A -1.5 spread is covered if the named team wins the series 3-0 or 3-1, and a -2.5 spread is covered if the named team wins the series 3-0. If the series is completed, each market will resolve to the named team's outcome if its spread is covered and to the other team's outcome if it is not. If the series is not completed by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including cancellation of the 2026 MLB Playoffs, a market will resolve to the other team's outcome if the other team has already won enough games that the named team can no longer cover the spread (2 games against a -1.5 spread, 1 game against a -2.5 spread). Otherwise, it will resolve to 50-50. Only games completed by that time will be counted. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

The 2026 MLB Playoffs American League Division Series between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox is a best-of-five series, won by the first team to win three games. Each market in this event names a team and a series spread of -1.5 or -2.5 games, and its two outcomes are the named team with that spread (for example, "Guardians -1.5") and the other team with the opposite spread (for example, "White Sox +1.5"). A -1.5 spread is covered if the named team wins the series 3-0 or 3-1, and a -2.5 spread is covered if the named team wins the series 3-0. If the series is completed, each market will resolve to the named team's outcome if its spread is covered and to the other team's outcome if it is not. If the series is not completed by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including cancellation of the 2026 MLB Playoffs, a market will resolve to the other team's outcome if the other team has already won enough games that the named team can no longer cover the spread (2 games against a -1.5 spread, 1 game against a -2.5 spread). Otherwise, it will resolve to 50-50. Only games completed by that time will be counted. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a similar outlook to those found at sportsbooks, but can diverge based on information available to traders on Polymarket. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the series, they can take the opposite position, causing the prediction market odds to move. This dynamic can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges closer to the start of the series.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders deposit collateral and buy or sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Guardians vs. White Sox series. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the result. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and overall market perception.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the MLB playoff series between the Guardians and the White Sox. The team that wins the series will determine the winning outcome in this market. It’s important to note that the official MLB results are the final authority for determining the resolution of this market, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Guardians or the White Sox would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected pitching changes or strong performances in preceding games could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, weather forecasts predicting disruptions to the series schedule, or any significant updates to team strategies, could all contribute to movement in this market. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role.