TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 3:04 AM EST
Polymarket
The 2026 MLB Playoffs National League Division Series between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres is a best-of-five series, won by the first team to win three games. Each market in this event has a listed line of 3.5 or 4.5 games. If the series is completed, each market will resolve to "Over" if more games were played than its listed line and to "Under" otherwise. Each completed game of the series counts once, including a game that is suspended and later resumed. If the series is not completed by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including cancellation of the 2026 MLB Playoffs, a market will resolve to "Over" if, at that time, it is no longer possible for the series to be completed in fewer games than its listed line. Otherwise, it will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 MLB Playoffs National League Division Series between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres is a best-of-five series, won by the first team to win three games. Each market in this event has a listed line of 3.5 or 4.5 games. If the series is completed, each market will resolve to "Over" if more games were played than its listed line and to "Under" otherwise. Each completed game of the series counts once, including a game that is suspended and later resumed. If the series is not completed by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including cancellation of the 2026 MLB Playoffs, a market will resolve to "Over" if, at that time, it is no longer possible for the series to be completed in fewer games than its listed line. Otherwise, it will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, often incorporating information and analysis that may not be immediately priced into traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that are more accurate or move faster in response to new information. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new developments occur leading up to and during the series.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of games played in the Brewers vs. Padres series is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official MLB game results, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted whether the series would go over or under 3.5 games. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a fair and transparent outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injuries to key players on either the Brewers or the Padres would undoubtedly shift the odds, as would any unexpected performance from starting pitchers. Game outcomes during the series itself will have the most direct effect, with each win or loss influencing trader sentiment. News regarding weather conditions in San Diego or Milwaukee, or even changes in team strategy, could also contribute to price movements. Any major upsets or unexpected twists in the series could lead to substantial shifts in the market.