TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 1:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the division of the team that wins the 2026 World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed division to produce the 2026 World Series champion (e.g., all of its teams have been eliminated from the 2026 MLB Postseason), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 World Series is cancelled, postponed after November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within that timeframe, each listed division's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the division of the team that wins the 2026 World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed division to produce the 2026 World Series champion (e.g., all of its teams have been eliminated from the 2026 MLB Postseason), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 World Series is cancelled, postponed after November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within that timeframe, each listed division's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on their own models and may incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the season, as prediction markets can react more quickly to new information and changing perceptions about team strengths and weaknesses. Examining these differences can reveal where the market identifies potential value compared to conventional betting lines.
This market resolves around Nov 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winners of each World Series division are officially determined and verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official MLB standings at the end of the regular season. The team with the best record in each division will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of shares in this market. Traders should monitor official MLB announcements for the final results.
Numerous factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries, unexpected trades, managerial changes, and a team’s performance during crucial stretches of the season are all potential catalysts. A team exceeding or underperforming preseason expectations will likely cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, any news regarding a team’s pitching rotation, offensive struggles, or defensive weaknesses could influence trading activity. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on each team’s chances is crucial for informed trading in this market.