TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:53 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming La Liga game between Málaga CF and Real Sociedad de Fútbol, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Málaga CF" if Málaga CF score more goals than Real Sociedad de Fútbol in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Málaga CF and Real Sociedad de Fútbol score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol score more goals than Málaga CF in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming La Liga game between Málaga CF and Real Sociedad de Fútbol, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Málaga CF" if Málaga CF score more goals than Real Sociedad de Fútbol in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Málaga CF and Real Sociedad de Fútbol score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol score more goals than Málaga CF in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, leading to odds that can be more responsive to new information or nuanced perspectives. While sportsbooks may initially offer different probabilities, the prediction market can sometimes converge on a more accurate assessment as the event approaches, though discrepancies can persist due to differing incentives and information access.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Málaga vs. Real Sociedad second half. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system that continuously updates as new information and opinions emerge, offering a real-time assessment of the potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result will be based on which team—Málaga CF or Real Sociedad de Fútbol—wins the second half of the match. The official result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially verified and the market is settled on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Málaga CF or Real Sociedad de Fútbol could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or referee assignments might also play a role. Furthermore, even general shifts in public opinion or analysis from sports commentators could contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.