TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:30 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Málaga CF and Real Sociedad de Fútbol, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Málaga CF" if Málaga CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Málaga CF and Real Sociedad de Fútbol, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Málaga CF" if Málaga CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the odds in this market will adjust accordingly. This can sometimes lead to prediction market odds being more accurate than sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the collective belief of the traders about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential for either Málaga or Real Sociedad to score first. The current price movements indicate what traders believe is the most likely scenario.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first goal in the Málaga CF versus Real Sociedad de Fútbol match. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be determined by the official game records. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be settled based on widely accepted sources of sports information.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Málaga or Real Sociedad would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, or pre-game tactical announcements from the managers, could impact the perceived probabilities and lead to price adjustments in this market. Any significant information related to the teams’ preparedness or potential performance could trigger trading activity.