TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol?

Volume:
$1,122,480

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 2:46 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$349,493
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

RSO

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$54,834
$337,469
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Málaga CF

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$344,089
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

MALA

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$3,802
$30,141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,898
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$226
$26,391
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a draw in the La Liga match between Málaga CF and Real Sociedad de Fútbol. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of views from Predict and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (La Liga). Keep an eye on the match itself on October 18, 2026, as the final result will determine market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on official match statistics with clearly defined fallback procedures.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (La Liga).

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore data is used, followed by Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, markets will resolve 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, with a maximum delay of 24 hours as defined by the fallback procedures.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, October 18, 2026 between Málaga CF and Real Sociedad de Fútbol.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, October 18, 2026 between Málaga CF and Real Sociedad de Fútbol.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing wagers, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. While sportsbooks may initially react to news and expert analysis, this market can quickly incorporate a wider range of information and adjust probabilities accordingly. The difference can be significant, offering opportunities for informed traders.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices for this market on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, influencing how quickly information is incorporated into prices. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Predict, leading to varying interpretations of the same data. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform can impact price discovery; higher volume generally leads to more efficient pricing. These differences highlight the value of aggregating data across multiple prediction markets to gain a more robust understanding of potential outcomes.