TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 5:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming La Liga game between Málaga CF and RCD Espanyol de Barcelona, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Málaga CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming La Liga game between Málaga CF and RCD Espanyol de Barcelona, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Málaga CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by individual traders on Predict, can sometimes offer more accurate predictions, especially as more information becomes available and more people participate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market itself. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded perspective.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different exact scores. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders about the probability of that score occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely outcome. The current price of a contract essentially represents the probability, as perceived by the market, of that specific exact score being the final result of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Málaga CF vs. Espanyol match, as officially recorded by sporting authorities, will determine the winning contract. The exact score at the end of regulation time will be used to determine the outcome. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for resolution purposes. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Predict.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 9, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Málaga CF or Espanyol would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, and tactical adjustments announced by the managers could also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match comments from players or coaches, might also cause fluctuations. Finally, significant trading volume itself, driven by large orders, can create momentum and move the market.