TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Serbian SuperLiga. The contest will determine whether one team secures a victory or if the game concludes without a clear winner. Results are evaluated strictly after the regulation period, excluding any extended play or penalty shootouts.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Mladost Lucani versus Vojvodina Novi Sad match scheduled for October 24, 2026: a win for Mladost Lucani, a win for Vojvodina Novi Sad, or a tie. Each market resolves based on the game's result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves positively. Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring transparency and equitable treatment for all participants. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, emphasizing that all branding and trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analyses, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can express that view by trading contracts, driving the price to reflect their collective assessment. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Serbian SuperLiga match between Mladost Lucani and Vojvodina Novi Sad, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The contract representing the winning outcome will pay out, while those representing losing outcomes will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential price movements before Oct 24, 2026.