TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 1:26 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming PLK game, scheduled for October 10 at 9:00AM ET: If the MKS Dabrowa Gornicza win, the market will resolve to "MKS Dabrowa Gornicza". If the Twarde Pierniki Torun win, the market will resolve to "Twarde Pierniki Torun". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming PLK game, scheduled for October 10 at 9:00AM ET: If the MKS Dabrowa Gornicza win, the market will resolve to "MKS Dabrowa Gornicza". If the Twarde Pierniki Torun win, the market will resolve to "Twarde Pierniki Torun". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from expert analysis. Often, prediction markets can offer more competitive odds, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. This is because the market aggregates information from a diverse range of participants, potentially identifying mispricings that sportsbooks may miss. However, sportsbook odds are still a valuable benchmark, and discrepancies can highlight areas where the market anticipates information not yet reflected in traditional betting lines. It's important to consider both when forming your own opinion about this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket, and the volume traded indicates the level of confidence in those predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MKS Dabrowa Gornicza vs. Twarde Pierniki Torun game in the Polish Basketball League. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance, or coaching changes for either MKS Dabrowa Gornicza or Twarde Pierniki Torun would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected results in other league games could also affect perceptions of each team's strength and chances of success. Furthermore, major announcements related to the Polish Basketball League itself, or even broader sporting events, could introduce new information that traders factor into their predictions, causing movement in this market.