TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:19h:11m
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This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Mjällby AIF and FK Borac Banja Luka. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, and has specific rules for postponements and cancellations.
In the upcoming match between Mjällby AIF and FK Borac Banja Luka, scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mjällby AIF" if Mjällby AIF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Borac Banja Luka" if FK Borac Banja Luka are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Mjällby AIF and FK Borac Banja Luka, scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mjällby AIF" if Mjällby AIF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Borac Banja Luka" if FK Borac Banja Luka are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a more accurate assessment of probabilities than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to maximize profit margins. Sportsbooks also often adjust odds based on betting volume, which can create distortions. While sportsbooks offer convenience, this market provides a unique signal based on the collective intelligence of informed traders. Differences in odds can present arbitrage opportunities for those who identify discrepancies.
Prices for the Mjällby vs. Borac first-to-score market can diverge between Polymarket and Predict due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, leading to differing opinions. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the platforms may have different fee structures or liquidity provisions, influencing trading behavior and ultimately, the displayed probabilities. Currently, Polymarket currently favors FK Borac Banja Luka to score first at 50.0%, while Predict leans toward Mjällby AIF.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team—Mjällby AIF or FK Borac Banja Luka—scores the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be independently verified to ensure accuracy. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result and the corresponding settlement of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 5, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Mjällby AIF or FK Borac Banja Luka would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also be a catalyst. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis or expert opinions released in the days leading up to the game could influence trader sentiment and move the probabilities associated with this market.