TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:19h:27m
$
This event group concerns the outcome of a UEFA Europa Conference League soccer match between Mjällby AIF and FK Borac Banja Luka, scheduled for November 5, 2026. Markets ask whether Mjällby AIF will win, FK Borac Banja Luka will win, or the game will end in a draw, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 between Mjällby AIF and FK Borac Banja Luka.
The event resolves based on the result of the Mjallby vs Banja Luka professional Conference League soccer game scheduled for November 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Mjallby wins within this regulation time, the 'Mjallby' market resolves to Yes. If Banja Luka wins within the same timeframe, the 'Banja Luka' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly adheres to the outcome within the specified time limitations, with no consideration given to results from extra time, penalty shootouts, or subsequent rescheduled matches.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 between Mjällby AIF and FK Borac Banja Luka.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 5, 2026, 17:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. The implied probabilities in this market may differ from those offered by sportsbooks due to varying information sources and participant motivations.
Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Mjällby vs. Borac Banja Luka match can arise from several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and predictive insights, which influences trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can differ significantly, impacting price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05? at 42.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Mjallby wins at 43.0%. These discrepancies reflect the unique dynamics of each market.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka match, as determined by official league sources. The outcome of this market will reflect the final score and result of the match, verified against credible public sources. The resolution process aims to provide a transparent and accurate determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Mjällby AIF or FK Borac Banja Luka could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or broader football news could impact overall sentiment and trading activity. Shifts in public opinion, reflected in increased volume, will also contribute to price movements in this market.