TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 2:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Conference League soccer match between Mjallby and IC Escaldes. It allows participants to speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Mjallby vs IC Escaldes Conference League soccer match scheduled for October 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for Mjallby or IC Escaldes markets occurs only if that specific team wins the match within regular time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in an equal score at the end of regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the views of numerous independent traders. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing levels of information, risk appetite, and market liquidity. It’s common to see initial sportsbook lines move closer to the prediction market price as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The higher the price of a contract, the lower the implied probability of that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mjallby vs IC Escaldes match, as determined by the governing sporting body. This includes consideration of any potential postponements, cancellations, or other unforeseen circumstances that may affect the final result. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location might also play a role. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns and media coverage, can impact trading activity and drive price movements. Major upsets in other related matches or broader sporting events could also indirectly influence how traders assess the probability of different outcomes in this market.