TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 1:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in Sweden's top league. The result depends solely on which team wins the match within regular time, or if the game ends in a draw. Any postponement or cancellation beyond a set timeframe triggers a special resolution process.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Mjallby vs Degerfors Allsvenskan match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Mjallby win, Degerfors win, or a tie—all determined exclusively within regular time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under extraordinary circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s odds are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the odds here may shift accordingly, potentially offering a different value than traditional betting options. It’s a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Mjallby versus Degerfors match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and reflect the collective probability assigned to each possible outcome by those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the Allsvenskan match between Mjallby and Degerfors will be used to determine the winning contract. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that occurs according to official league results, and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff for either Mjallby or Degerfors would likely cause movement. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role. Furthermore, shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-match commentary, could impact trading activity and cause the odds to adjust. Even significant betting patterns elsewhere could influence traders on Kalshi.