TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 1.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 1.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 03d:01h:18m
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This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Mjallby and Banja Luka. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Mjallby vs Banja Luka Conference League match scheduled for November 5, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified threshold—ranging from more than 0.5 goals up to more than 5.5 goals—within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately. The governing rules emphasize that the official match result after full regulation time determines outcomes, and Kalshi disclaims any formal association with the league or its intellectual property.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a certain outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a broader range of participants contributing to the prediction. It’s common to see this market diverge from initial sportsbook offerings as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust predictions in real-time, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Mjallby vs Banja Luka match will be used to determine the total goals scored. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders who correctly predicted the total goals will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts on Kalshi at the time of resolution. The outcome is determined by the official result of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mjallby or Banja Luka would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the game, could also shift predictions. Unexpected team lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before the match could also influence trading activity. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the likely outcome of the match could impact the price on Kalshi.