TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Mito H vs Urawa professional Japan J1 League soccer game will end in a tie. Currently, Kalshi gives an 88.0% probability to “Tie is the result”, with the second most likely outcome being “Urawa wins” at 11.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the match, according to the resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Urawa wins the match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Mito H vs Urawa professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Mito H scores more goals than Urawa by the end of regular time, the 'Mito H' market resolves to Yes. If Urawa scores more goals than Mito H, the 'Urawa' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of goals, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price according to the platform's procedures. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not account for outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Mito H vs Urawa match. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of expected outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mito H vs Urawa match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their positions on Kalshi following the official announcement. The market will then settle, and payouts will be distributed according to the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all impact expectations for the Mito H vs Urawa match. Unexpected announcements from team management or significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also drive price movements. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either team winning are likely to be reflected in the trading volume and price fluctuations on Kalshi.