TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:01 AM EST
Kalshi
Analogous to the third market, this one determines winners based on goal differentials in the Mito H vs Shimizu match. Bets resolve according to whether Mito H or Shimizu achieves a victory exceeding the set margins.
The market resolves based on the goal difference in the Mito H vs Shimizu professional Japan J1 League soccer game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Rules specify different thresholds for wins by Mito H or Shimizu, with the market resolving to Yes if the winning margin exceeds the specified threshold. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analyses, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows traders to openly buy and sell contracts, causing the price to shift based on collective belief. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly, potentially offering an edge to informed participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing the potential outcomes of the Mito H vs Shimizu match. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Mito H vs Shimizu match, as officially reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that triggers settlement will be determined by the rules of the match and the official results declared by the governing body. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Mito H or Shimizu would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams' chances of winning will likely be reflected in the price of contracts on Kalshi.