TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 12:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Mitla Oleksii and Smyrnov Mykyta in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 13 at 9:45PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mitla Oleksii' if Mitla Oleksii wins against Smyrnov Mykyta. This market will resolve to 'Smyrnov Mykyta' if Smyrnov Mykyta wins against Mitla Oleksii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Mitla Oleksii and Smyrnov Mykyta in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 13 at 9:45PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mitla Oleksii' if Mitla Oleksii wins against Smyrnov Mykyta. This market will resolve to 'Smyrnov Mykyta' if Smyrnov Mykyta wins against Mitla Oleksii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and sportsbook offerings, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the analysis of professional oddsmakers. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome in the Mitla vs. Smyrnov match. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all participants. This creates a dynamic and efficient price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Mitla vs. Smyrnov match, as declared by the governing sports organization. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to 1 minus the trading fee, while shares in the losing outcome will be worth zero.
Several factors could influence the price action in this market leading up to Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preliminary matches or significant media coverage focusing on one player’s performance could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trades executed by influential market participants can create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.