TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market resolves if Alabama wins the second quarter by more than 3.5 points in the college football game against Tennessee. Second-quarter points are the sole factor, and the market remains active if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original schedule.
If Ole Miss wins the 2nd quarter of the Missouri vs Ole Miss college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Missouri wins the 2nd quarter of the Missouri vs Ole Miss college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Missouri vs Ole Miss college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy emerges, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event occurring, and differences can stem from varying information and analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders set the odds by buying and selling contracts. Each contract represents a potential outcome – in this case, either Missouri or Ole Miss winning the second quarter. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; higher prices indicate greater perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s potential results, creating a dynamic and real-time valuation of each team’s chances.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Missouri vs Ole Miss football game will be declared the winner of this market. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports news source, will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will be paid out according to the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Missouri or Ole Miss would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any significant news related to team morale, coaching decisions, or recent performance could sway trader sentiment. Even public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can contribute to fluctuations in the market price as traders react to new information.