TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how decisively either team wins during a specific segment of a college football game. It focuses exclusively on performance within a defined timeframe, reflecting momentum and strategic execution during that period.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 2nd quarter of the Missouri vs Ole Miss college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point differential for that market during this quarter. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If play does not begin within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market features a different point threshold, offering various levels of winning margin predictions for both possible outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can be a useful exercise in understanding differing perspectives on the game's potential result, but remember that each operates with its own unique dynamics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second quarter of the game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The most actively traded spreads will have the tightest bid-ask spreads, indicating greater liquidity.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second-quarter spread of the Missouri versus Ole Miss game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range specified by each contract. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Missouri or Ole Miss would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could move the market. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role, though the market is primarily driven by informed traders expressing their own views.