TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
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2,984,640,614
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$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
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MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:18 PM EST
Kalshi
The first quarter of a college football game between Missouri and Ole Miss will determine the winner based on which team scores more points in that segment.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the first quarter of the Missouri vs Ole Miss college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Points scored only during the first quarter count towards the outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by individuals predicting the outcome. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than point spreads or over/unders offered by sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful data point when forming your own opinion on the likely winner of the first quarter.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the platform, allowing you to see the current bid and ask prices and the volume available at each price level. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the first quarter winner of the Missouri vs Ole Miss football game will determine the settlement of this market. The official result, as reported by a major sports news outlet or the NCAA, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the outcome is officially confirmed and processed.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Missouri or Ole Miss would likely cause significant movement. Changes in the weather forecast, particularly if it’s expected to be a heavy downpour or strong winds, could also impact the perceived advantage of either team. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed individuals could signal a change in sentiment and cause the odds to adjust accordingly.