TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle the outcome. The markets resolve based on the actual game score, with specific rules for postponements and fair pricing if the game cannot start on time.
These markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams during the first quarter of the Missouri vs Ole Miss college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from over 2.5 points to over 27.5 points); if the actual total exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Only points scored in the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move faster to react to breaking news, such as key player injuries. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded expectation for the Missouri vs Ole Miss 1st quarter, but remember this market represents a different form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced as a continuous probability distribution. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible total points scored in the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the likelihood of that specific total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, creating a dynamic forecast. The closer we get to the game, the more the price will converge toward the actual outcome, reflecting the collective intelligence of those trading in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the first quarter of the Missouri vs Ole Miss football game will determine the result. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Missouri or Ole Miss would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trading activity. Finally, as kickoff approaches, any significant betting patterns observed in sportsbooks might also be reflected in this market, as traders react to broader market sentiment.