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Missouri vs Arkansas: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Missouri vs Arkansas?

Volume:
$1,423,983

Missouri wins by over 10.5 points

 - Kalshi

Missouri wins by over 10.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 11:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 10.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$663,730
N/A
N/A
$587,486
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 9.5 points

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$316,624
N/A
N/A
$285,066
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 20.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$81,839
N/A
N/A
$41,878
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 17.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$64,498
N/A
N/A
$43,583
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 13.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$53,346
N/A
N/A
$36,510
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,417
N/A
N/A
$28,102
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 11.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34,237
N/A
N/A
$28,067
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 23.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,936
N/A
N/A
$22,276
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 16.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,907
N/A
N/A
$26,004
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 14.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,436
N/A
N/A
$15,024
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 21.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,954
N/A
N/A
$11,462
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 7.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,106
N/A
N/A
$6,012
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,015
N/A
N/A
$2,952
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,766
N/A
N/A
$4,763
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,644
N/A
N/A
$1,979
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 5.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,848
N/A
N/A
$1,621
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 4.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,043
N/A
N/A
$942
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 24.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,794
N/A
N/A
$12,204
Settled
No
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 30.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,102
N/A
N/A
$3,119
Settled
No
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 27.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,649
N/A
N/A
$1,976
Settled
No
kalshi

Arkansas wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,010
N/A
N/A
$840
Settled
No
kalshi

Arkansas wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$948
N/A
N/A
$936
Settled
No
kalshi

Arkansas wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$901
N/A
N/A
$760
Settled
No
kalshi

Arkansas wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$683
N/A
N/A
$523
Settled
No
kalshi

Arkansas wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$665
N/A
N/A
$580
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Intro

This market tracks whether Missouri will win their college football game against Arkansas by more than 2.5 points. Currently, the probability of Missouri winning by over 2.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Missouri vs Arkansas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Missouri wins by more than 16.5 points, with final settlement expected around November 1, 2026.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Missouri vs Arkansas college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For markets where Missouri wins by a specified margin, resolution occurs if Missouri's victory exceeds that margin; for markets where Arkansas wins by a specified margin, resolution occurs if Arkansas's victory exceeds that margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these specific conditions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Missouri-Arkansas spread market tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $1,367,610. The total volume traded on this market is $1,410,856. This allows traders to see how much activity there is and understand market sentiment regarding the likely point difference in the game’s final score.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the spread is incorrect, the price will move accordingly, potentially offering value compared to what you might find at a sportsbook. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and information. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market is continuously updating its forecast as new information becomes available, and the price will move until the event occurs.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Missouri versus Arkansas game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Missouri or Arkansas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also impact the spread. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Nov 1, 2026.