What is the result of Missouri vs Arkansas?

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'yes' or 'no' outcome—in this case, whether a defensive or special teams touchdown is scored. The price of these contracts reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the fair value. The current price indicates the implied probability of a defensive touchdown being scored during the game, with higher prices suggesting a greater perceived likelihood.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, following the completion of the Missouri versus Arkansas football game. The outcome will be determined by whether a defensive or special teams touchdown is officially recorded in the game statistics by the official scoring sources. The result will be verified against credible public reporting to ensure accuracy. The market will settle to 100 if a defensive or special teams touchdown is scored by either team, and 0 if no such touchdown occurs during the course of the game.

Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding key defensive players being injured or suspended for either Missouri or Arkansas would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the likelihood of turnovers and special teams plays, potentially increasing the chances of a defensive touchdown. Finally, any strategic adjustments announced by either coaching staff that emphasize aggressive defensive schemes or special teams play could shift market sentiment.