TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:18 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether Missouri or Arkansas will achieve specific point differentials during the third quarter of their college football matchup. Outcomes depend solely on scoring dynamics within that specific quarter, isolating performance metrics from the rest of the game.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the third quarter of the Missouri vs Arkansas college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold for either Missouri or Arkansas to exceed in that quarter. If Missouri wins the third quarter by more than the designated margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the respective Missouri markets resolve to Yes. Conversely, if Arkansas wins the third quarter by more than the specified margin—also ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the corresponding Arkansas markets resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and team news, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and the varying levels of information considered by each. Examining both can provide a more nuanced understanding of the event's potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the 3rd quarter of the Missouri versus Arkansas game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in the first half of the game will likely cause substantial shifts in the market as traders react to the unfolding events. Public opinion and media coverage can also play a role, though to a lesser extent than concrete game-related information. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price movements in this market.